Tuesday, 4 November 2008

Your VOANews.com Headlines (UTF-8)

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US Voters Face Long Lines, Machine Problems

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Election officials say they expect massive turnout on Election Day, and they are asking voters to be patient, brace for possible delays
Polls are open across the United States as voters line up to choose a new president and members of Congress. The last major preference polls showed Democrat Barack Obama with a significant advantage over Republican John McCain. VOA's Brian Wagner reports from Florida, one of several key states the candidates are hoping to win.

Line of voters waiting to cast ballots in New Orleans, 04 Nov 2008Voters streamed into libraries, government buildings and schools to cast ballots in an election many voters are saying is the most significant in the nation's history.

Some polling stations in eastern states like New York, Virginia and Pennsylvania reported long lines of voters who gathered before dawn to cast ballots.

Election officials say they expect massive turnout on Election Day, and they are asking voters to be patient and brace for possible delays.

Virginia resident Renu Ahluwalia got in line early Tuesday, and said she would arrive late to her job at the Department of Homeland Security "I just started my wait, but I was told it was up to an hour. I think no matter what time you came the lines were going to be long, but it is exciting. I am making up the hours later in order to come out here this morning," she said.

Officials in New Jersey said they were giving paper ballots to some voters because of problems with electronic voting machines. Other areas encountered minor problems, but officials voiced no major concerns.

Voters cast their ballots at Centreville High School in Clifton, Virginia, 04 Nov. 2008Near Washington, American University law student, Angela Edmond, was part of a volunteer team working to make sure all people qualified to vote are able to do so. "There was only one problem with a man whose wife had applied for an absentee ballot, and she didn't receive it and she was given a hard time inside. She should be able to vote provisionally, but we're not sure, so we are waiting to see when she comes out," she said.

In Miami, college student Paul Torres, said he voted for Obama because of his economic policy, even though he considers himself a Republican. "It was not really a hard decision in this election, because I see people on television saying McCain is going to fix this. But he has the same strategies as George Bush," he said.

Fellow student Andres Suarez said he raced to the polls to vote for John McCain before his morning classes. "I voted today, very early in the morning. It was about an hour and a half [wait], but compared to other friends who waited five hours, it was not that bad," he said.

Long delays were common in Florida and some of the 29 other states that held early voting in recent weeks. Officials say early turnout was unprecedented with more than 40 million Americans casting their ballots before Election Day.

On the final day of campaigning, Barack Obama spoke to thousands of supporters in Virginia - a state no Democrat has won since 1964. "I've just got one question for you, Virginia. Are you fired up? Are you ready to go? Fired up? Ready to go? Fired up? Ready to go? Fired up? Ready to go? Virginia, let's go change the world. Thank you and God Bless the United States of America," he said.

Presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and his wife Michelle, cast their votes at a polling place in Chicago, 4 Nov. 2008Senator Obama is spending Election Day with his family in Illinois, before a major rally in Chicago later in the day.

Senator McCain is in his home state of Arizona after making a whirlwind tour of several crucial states on Monday.

At a rally in Indiana, he pointed to some polls showing that he held a narrow lead over his opponent. "We've got the momentum. We've the momentum my friends. We've got it!"

Final national polls showed the presidential contest was narrowing, but Obama held a comfortable lead of between five and 11 points.

Democrats also are expected to make gains in Congressional voting, which includes all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 in the 100 member Senate.

Most projections have Democrats expanding their current 36 seat House advantage by at least 20. Potential losses could give Democrats their strongest majority in 18 years, putting Republicans far below their current 199 seat minority.

Democrats would like to widen their current narrow 51-49 margin of control in the Senate to or near a 60-seat majority that could make it easier to win votes on legislation.

 


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Democrats Expected to Gain Seats in US Congress

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Democrats hope to pick up enough Senate seats so they can deprive Republican minority of ability to block legislation
Americans go to the polls Tuesday to vote for members of the U.S. Congress as well as the president. All 435 members of the U.S. House of Representatives will be up for election, along with will more than one-third of the 100-member Senate. Democrats are hoping to pick up enough Senate seats so they can deprive the Republican minority of their ability to block legislation. VOA's Deborah Tate has this report on how the battle is shaping up.

The US Capitol is seen Saturday, Nov. 1, 2008 in Washington, three days before the makeup of the two houses of Congress will be determined by the Nov. 4, 2008 electionMost of the attention on the congressional races is focused on the Senate, where Democrats, who now hold a narrow majority, hope to win an additional nine seats to give them an influential 60-vote majority. That would be an important victory for Democrats, according to Alan Lichtman, political science professor at American University."A 60-seat majority is of enormous significance because that is a filibuster-proof majority. Republicans could not block legislation by in effect talking it to death, delaying it," he said.

Lichtman believes Democrats will increase their ranks, but fall a few seats short of the critical 60-vote majority. He argues that Democrats could win over enough moderate Republicans on individual issues to overcome any efforts to block their legislation.Democrats are also expected to expand their 36-seat majority in the House of Representatives. Analysts predict Democrats could win between 20 and 35 additional seats. Congressional Republicans acknowledge they face a tough election battle. Among incumbents facing close reelection bids in the Senate are Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska, who was found guilty of corruption charges last month.A number of Republican House members also are waging tough reelection campaigns, including Congressman Chris Shays of Connecticut - a political moderate who has often been at odds with President Bush, and Congresswoman Michele Bachmann of Minnesota, who made a controversial call for investigations of U.S. lawmakers whom she had suggested hold "anti-American views". If Democrat Barack Obama becomes president, larger Democratic majorities in the House and Senate could be key to swiftly implementing his legislative agenda, including withdrawing U.S. combat troops from Iraq and implementing health care reform.

"Democrats have been out of power for some time. They have not controlled the presidency and the Congress since the early 1990s under Bill Clinton. Democrats are going to be hungry for real accomplishment," added Professor Lichtman.But Steven Hess of the Brookings Institution says a Democratic Congress will not necessarily be in lock step with a Democratic president."Neither party is monolithic. Both parties in a sense have regional interests that differ as well as conservative and liberal wings of the party," said Hess.If Republican John McCain is elected president, Alan Lichtman says the veteran senator's record of bipartisanship could help in moving legislation through congress, although he says the partisan nature of his presidential campaign would make relations with Democrats more difficult."He has run a very relentless-negative campaign, and a campaign decried by even some Republicans. He would have a lot of mending to do in order to bring around Democrats who are very bitter about the negative campaign that he has run," said Lichtman.The presidential candidate who loses the election will return to Capitol Hill as a U.S. senator, but likely with a higher profile than before his White House campaign. 

 


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President Bush Maintains Low Profile Ahead of Tuesday's Election

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Far from providing a boost to fellow-Republican John McCain, George Bush widely viewed as having a detrimental effect on Arizona senator's chances of winning the election
In the final days of the presidential campaign, Americans have been flooded with messages from John McCain and Barack Obama. One person who has maintained a conspicuously low profile is the man both candidates hope to replace: President Bush. Far from providing a boost to fellow-Republican McCain, Mr. Bush is widely viewed as having a detrimental effect on the Arizona senator's chances of winning the election, due to his record-low public approval ratings, a troubled economy and a war effort in Iraq that has lasted more than five years. Monday, the White House acknowledged President Bush's unpopularity while restating Mr. Bush's support for Senator McCain. VOA's Michael Bowman reports. President George W. Bush As a rule, outgoing presidents hit the campaign trail in support of their party's presidential nominee. But not this year. President Bush did not attend the Republican National Convention in September, and has not appeared in public with Senator McCain since then.Not that Mr. Bush has been forgotten. On the campaign trial, Democrat Barack Obama has spoken about President Bush almost as much as John McCain - and sought to link the two."John McCain has ridden shotgun [alongside] as George Bush has driven our economy towards a cliff," Obama said. "And now he wants to take the wheel and step on the gas."Far from defending the president, McCain has protested the Illinois senator's suggestion that he and Mr. Bush are political bedfellows. Senator John McCain in Wallingford, Pennsylvania, 02 Nov 2008"I am not George Bush, McCain said. "If Senator Obama wanted to run against George Bush, he should have run for president four years ago."That comment from the campaign trail stands in sharp contrast to McCain's assertion in March, when he appeared with the president at the White House after it became clear he would win the Republican presidential nomination."I intend to have as much [many] possible campaigning events together [with Mr. Bush] as is in keeping with the president's heavy schedule," he said.In fact, McCain has not shied from criticizing President Bush on his handling of the economy. In a television advertisement, McCain noted that "The last eight years have not worked very well, have they?"Asked about being shunned by both presidential aspirants, White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said Mr. Bush understands today's political climate. Dana Perino (file)"We are realistic about the political environment that we are in," she said. "We are also cognizant that the Republican Party wanted to make this election about John McCain. And that is appropriate."Perino acknowledged the American people's desire for change, but said President Bush has remained true to his ideals while confronting difficult challenges. She dismissed any suggestion that Mr. Bush is resentful of McCain's criticism of the president."Everybody would like to be popular. We can all remember that back in high school," she said. "Everyone really wanted to be popular, and some of us just were not. We are supporting this candidate [McCain] and trying to be respectful of what they [Republicans] have thought is the best way to run their campaign."It is not at all clear that the McCain campaign welcomes Perino's comments, coming one day before the election. Last week, Vice President Cheney voiced his support for McCain - an endorsement that was immediately picked up by the Obama campaign and used in a television advertisement attacking the Arizona senator.Perino says President Bush will remain in the White House Tuesday to watch election returns. Mr. Bush is expected to congratulate the winner once final results are known.


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World Markets Higher as Americans Vote

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European, Asian and US markets post gains, Tuesday as key indicator of banks' willingness to lend to each other improves again
People walk nearby an electric market board in Tokyo, 04 Nov 2008Many stock markets around the world are posting strong gain Tuesday as Americans head to the polls to choose a new president for the world's largest economy. U.S. share prices gained around three percent in mid-day trading.  European indexes are up between four and five percent in late trading, and key Asian markets were higher at the close.The gains come as a key measure of banks' willingness to lend to each other improved again.  Before recent declines in the "Libor" interest rate, credit markets had been stalled, making the economic crisis worse.Credit markets began flowing as governments around the world offered trillions of dollars in emergency aid to financial institutions and cut interest rates in a bid to restore bankers' confidence.  Australia cut its key interest rate Tuesday and the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are widely expected to slash rates on Thursday.  But that news may be tempered by a new United Nations' report that says the financial crisis has spread to international trade, hitting developing nations that export commodities particularly hard.  The U.N. report says a key measure of demand for trade, which tracks shipping costs, has fallen dramatically over the past few months.    Also Tuesday, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown predicted oil-rich countries from the Persian Gulf will contribute more money to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) when world leaders meet in Washington next week.  The IMF is already giving billions of dollars to help bail out Iceland, Ukraine and Hungary.

Some information for this report was provided by Bloomberg. 


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Suicide Bomber Kills 1, Wounds 7 in Northwestern Pakistan

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Pakistan's northwestern tribal areas are considered to be Taliban, al-Qaida militant strongholds
Police in northwestern Pakistan say a suicide bomber detonated an explosives-filled car at a security post Tuesday, killing a Pakistani soldier and wounding at least seven others.Authorities say the attack occurred in the town of Doaba in Hangu district. Pakistan's northwestern tribal areas are considered to be Taliban and al-Qaida militant strongholds.   Elsewhere in the northwest, officials say two rockets landed near the runway of Peshawar airport before dawn Tuesday.  Reports of damage varied, from slight to none at all.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.


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Nigerian Armed Group Offers to Help Free Kidnapped Lebanese Engineer

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Movement for Emancipation of Niger Delta says it was not behind attack but will work to locate hostage, negotiate with abductors
Nigerian security authorities have confirmed the kidnapping of a Lebanese construction worker in the country's southern oil region, by unidentified gunmen.  Nigeria's most prominent armed group - the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta - says it was not behind the attack and will work to free the Lebanese citizen.  For VOA, Gilbert da Costa in Abuja has more.A fighter of the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) holds his weapons at the militia's creek camp in the Niger Delta, 17 Sep 2008In a written statement, MEND says it was not involved in the attack.  The group says it will assist in locating and negotiating with his abductors.  No group has claimed responsibility for the incident.MEND is the most prominent armed group in the Niger Delta, the country's oil-rich region, where sabotage, kidnappings and attacks on foreign oil workers are rampant.A Navy spokesman in the main oil city, Port Harcourt, Lieutenant Way Olabisi, says MEND is now a depleted fighting force.  He says the army will continue to fight armed groups in the Niger Delta. "The situation is not like the way it used to be," Olabisi said.  "When they declared Operation [oil war], they lost so many of their fighters because they confronted the military.  And, at the end they declared a ceasefire.  We, the military, never entered any agreement for fighting so declaring a ceasefire or no ceasefire has nothing to do with the military.   We are just doing our work.  But, maybe because they found out that this thing was not paying off, so they now decided to cool down." The Lebanese man was abducted Monday from a road project he was working on in Port Harcourt, Nigeria's oil hub.More than 200 foreigners have been abducted.  Most of them have been released in exchange for money, in nearly three years of escalating violence across the southern region.Well-armed criminal gangs are exploiting the anarchy in the region to stage robberies and kidnappings for ransom.Military and criminal activities have slowed Nigeria's oil production, which has declined by 25 percent, compared with its peak production of 2.6 million barrels per day. 

 

 


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Iranian Parliament Begins Impeachment of Interior Minister Ali Kordan

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Kordan angered many Iranian lawmakers for falsely claiming to possess honorary degree from Oxford University
The Iranian parliament has decided to begin the process of impeaching Interior Minister Ali Kordan for falsely claiming to possess an honorary doctorate from Oxford University.  While not a close ally of President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, Kordan is causing embarrassment to the president and could eventually bring down his government if he is unable to win a confidence vote, as Edward Yeranian reports for VOA from Cairo.Ali Kordan delivers speech, prior to vote by members of parliament to impeach him, 04 Nov 2008The short tenure of Iranian Interior Minister Ali Kordan appears to be drawing to a close, after Iran's parliament began the impeachment process Tuesday.  Kordan angered many Iranian lawmakers for falsely claiming to possess an honorary degree from Oxford University.The ethics issue arose after Kordan told parliament during a confidence vote on August 5 that he possessed a degree from Oxford, which he proceeded to display. Officials from Oxford University later denied that Kordan had been awarded any degree from the institution.The news of the impeachment process comes as little surprise, as the Iranian press has been ridiculing Kordan for weeks about his so-called "phony" doctorate, and many political commentators have predicted that his demise was imminent.Top Iran expert Ali Nouri Zadeh tells VOA the Kordan scandal is causing some embarrassment to President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, despite the fact that both men were never close allies.  Zadeh says the impeachment could imperil the presidency, because Mr. Ahmedinejad must go through a new confidence vote before parliament."First of all that was something we all expected," he said. "Mr. Kordan is not going to last beside the opponent of Mr. Ahmedinejad.  Some of the supporters also withdrew support because of Mr. Kordan, bearing in mind that Mr. Kordan has not been selected by Mr. Ahmedinejad.  On the contrary he was forced on him by Ayotallah Khamenei, but suddenly Ayotallah Khamenei stayed away and let Ahmedinejad to sustain the punches." But Nouri Zadeh predicts that a deal will be reached between him and parliament speaker Ali Larijani to avoid a quick ouster of his government."Absolutely, if Mr. Ahmedinejad does not get vote of confidence this means the end of Ahmedinejad.  Then, there will be the Ahmedinejad impeachment.  He will be out.  But, I do not think we have to look at it this way. I think the whole situation is not as dramatic as somebody may, you know, say.  I think Ahmedinejad thinks he does not have too many months ahead of him so he may as I say have compromised with Larijani," said Zadeh.President Ahmedinejad's term in office ends in August 2009, although it is widely expected that he will run again.  Past rumors that parliament would cut Mr. Ahmedinejad's term short have not proved true, due to apparent behind-the-scenes support  from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.  Nevertheless, it remains to be seen if Khamenei comes to Mr. Ahmedinejad's rescue, this time around. 


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Taiwan, China Seek Closer Economic Ties

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New landmark deals will dramatically increase transportation links
China and Taiwan have signed landmark deals that will dramatically increase transportation links between the two.  The agreements were signed in Taiwan during the highest-level visit by a Chinese official in 60 years.  Thibault Worth reports from Taipei.Among other things, the agreements triple the number of direct weekly charter flights between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan to 108.  In addition, cargo flights will be allowed for the first time and seaports will be open for direct cargo shipments.  Both sides also agreed to establish a safety alert system in case of tainted food imports. Beijing representative Chen Yunlin (L) exchanges document with Taiwanese counterpart Chiang Pin-kung during  signing ceremony at Grand hotel in Taipei, 04 Nov 2008P.K. Chiang is chairman of Taiwan's Straits Exchange Foundation.  He signed the agreements with Chen Yunlin, the chairman of China's Association of Relations Across the Taiwan Strait.Chiang says this is a big development in direct transportation links across the strait and an important milestone in the normalization of commerce on both sides.Relations between mainland China and Taiwan have been warming since the election of Taiwan's President Ma Ying-jeou in March. Mr. Ma won on a platform of economic revitalization, largely based on closer economic ties with the mainland.  But many Taiwanese are uncomfortable with his policies because China claims sovereignty over the self-ruled island, and says they must eventually unite, by force if necessary.Recent tainted milk imports from China have further deepened the distrust of many Taiwanese.  So far on his visit Chen has been careful to steer clear of politics.Chen says this is the first time since the establishment of the two associations that they have held a meeting between the two leaders in Taipei.  He goes on to say that the meeting shows the relationship continues to improve and develop.There have been several protests around Taiwan against Chen's meeting.  Many Taiwan residents favor declaring independence from China, something that Beijing has warned would bring an armed response.The two sides agreed to hold talks every six months and to focus on building closer financial ties during the next round of meetings. 


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NASA Prepares Space Shuttle Endeavour for Launch

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Shuttle will service International Space Station and prepare it for an expansion in spring
The U.S. space agency NASA is gearing up for next week's launch of the space shuttle Endeavour on a mission to the International Space Station. The shuttle will service the orbiting scientific outpost and prepare it for an expansion in the spring. VOA's Jessica Berman reports. Shuttle Endeavour being moved to launch pad (file photo)Endeavour will blast off on November 14, ferrying almost sixteen thousand kilograms of equipment and supplies to the International Space Station.  During the 15-day mission, astronauts will conduct four space walks, including operations to clean and service machinery that has been jammed for a year and interfered with the operations of the space station's solar panels.Endeavour's payload will include an extra toilet and sleeping quarters for the space station to expand the living space on the station to support six crew members. Currently, there is enough room for only three astronauts.Mike Suffredini is the International Space Station's Program Manager. The crew of space shuttle Endeavour have spent hours studying the plan for a busy 15 days in space"And if, in fact, we get to the point where six crew members can't get all of the research done that we want to do, then we will explore the possibility of expanding the crew," said Mike Suffredini.Suffredini says the expansion means there will more room to accommodate non-U.S. astronauts on the International Space Station. Suffredini says he understands the frustrations other countries must feel about not getting a chance to do research on the orbiting outpost."Imagine for a moment that we have an International Space Station in orbit that we've invested in and we don't have any U.S. crews on board," he said. "That's what the partners live with today. So we have agreements to get their crews to orbit based on their percent contribution, very significant contributions by the way. Billions of dollars have been spend by these agencies as well to contribute to the ISS [International Space Station]."NASA managers hope to have the space station ready for additional astronauts by early next year. 


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Bluegrass Music Legend's Son Earns Praise for 'This One Is II'

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Ralph Stanley II, 30, has more baritone voice than his dad, and recorded songs by Lyle Lovett, Fred Eaglesmith and Elton John for his new CD
For music fans, the name Ralph Stanley brings to mind the high, lonesome sound of traditional bluegrass.  At 80, he's a living legend, having released more than 150 record albums.  He's also one of the few members of the first generation of bluegrass pickers and singers still performing regularly.  This might lead you to believe the name Ralph Stanley II would be quite a burden for a young singer to carry.  But as VOA's Katherine Cole reports, "II" takes it all in stride.One reason might be that the two Ralph Stanley's have totally different sounds.  The patriarch is revered for his traditional style of mountain music, sung in a smoky high tenor. The son's voice couldn't be more different. Ralph Stanley II sings with a baritone voice that is more reminiscent of traditional country singers George Jones or Merle Haggard. Ralph Stanley 'This One is II' CD Ralph Stanley II's voice also bears some resemblance to that of his late uncle Carter Stanley, which makes Fred Eaglesmith's song "Carter" rather an interesting choice for II to sing on his latest CD, This One Is II (Two). "Fred's a big Stanley Brothers fan, and for him to write a song like that, and for me to get to sing it here was just a true blessing," Stanley says.  "You know, it's kind of ironic how we got that song.  When I first signed with Lonesome Day Records, the very day I signed, the song came in the mail."    Cole: "Was there any doubt in your mind that this is what you wanted to do?""When I was two years-old, I always wanted to sing," explains Stanley.  "I loved George Jones and I loved The Stanley Brothers' music.  You know, my dad he'd play a lot old stuff, like Carter Family songs.  He'd play a lot of Bill Monroe stuff.  My hero was always my Uncle Carter, of course. And Keith Whitley.  And George [Jones].  My dad's a hero, too.  And I always wanted to be his lead singer.  And luckily, when I was 16 years-old, he gave me the job.  But yes, I always wanted to do this. "Ralph Stanley IIRaised in southwestern Virginia, Ralph Stanley II began going out on the road with his father when he was just two years-old.  At 30, he has spent nearly half his life singing and playing rhythm guitar in his father's fabled band, The Clinch Mountain Boys.  So it came as a surprise to some that Ralph Stanley II turned to writers outside the old school bluegrass and country worlds for songs to sing on his fourth solo CD.  "We did a song of Lyle Lovett's.  Me and a couple of the guys co-wrote some of the songs," he notes. "Fred Eaglesmith, of course. Townes Van Zant. Elton John.  We did a song of his."You know, I give Randall Deaton a lot of credit," Stanley adds. "Actually, Marty Raybon, too. They call me 'Two,' you know.  They said 'Two, do you want to give it a shot?  Try something different?  Try to become your own self?' If anybody thinks I'm quitting, or taking off, that's not it.  I'm still a Clinch Mountain Boy, and I always will be.  It's just that I need to try something on my own.  I'm my own person … 30 years-old.  It's time to give it a shot I believe."With This One is II, Ralph Stanley II has done more than just "give it a shot."  While his new CD may sound a bit "too country" for fans of the current music out of Nashville, "This One is II" is a treat for anyone who appreciates the traditional sound of country music. 


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Monday, 3 November 2008

Your VOANews.com Headlines (UTF-8)

Check out our Special Report on the Financial Crisis.  Don't miss feature writer Ted Landphair's America - a  blog on American life. And remember to log on to USAVotes2008.com, our election community site, where you can discuss U.S. politics with others around the world.


Early Voting Draws Millions in Key US States

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Officials say more than 23 million have already cast ballots for next president in highly contested states
Students wait in line to vote early at a campus polling site in Davis, CaliforniaElection officials say more than 23 million Americans in several highly contested U.S. states have already cast ballots for the next U.S. president.Authorities had estimated 30 percent of voters would participate in early voting in 34 states across the country.  In some states, voters waited in long lines for up to six hours to cast ballots in person ahead of election day Tuesday.Democratic Party officials say they are encouraged by the early turnout numbers, with figures showing Democrats voting early in greater numbers in the states of Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada and New Mexico.In Florida, Republicans have an edge among absentee voters, but Democrats have lined up in larger numbers in person at early voting polling places.

 

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.

 


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Political Experts Predict Large African American Turnout in the US Presidential Election

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Experts say turnout is being driven by candidacy of Senator Barack Obama who is vying to become nation's first African-American president
Millions of Americans have already cast ballots in the U.S. Presidential election in some 32 states which have expanded traditional absentee rules to allow anyone to go to a polling place and vote early. Key pollsters speculate nearly a quarter of all voters might cast ballots before  November 4, which would be a record.  Surveys indicate many of those voting early are African Americans, many who say they are excited by the prospect of electing Senator Barack Obama the first African American president. Chris Simkins has more on the story. Historic turnout - largest minority votingAfrican Americans are turning out to vote in large numbersLarge numbers of African Americans are turning up at the polls in states where early voting is underway.  Political experts say the trend is an indication of what could be a historic turnout among the nation's largest minority voting group. 

A recent study [by The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies] indicates as many as 94 percent of black voters prefer Senator Barack Obama, the Democrat, over his Republican rival, Senator John McCain.  Analysts say it's a huge advantage for Obama who is pushing his supporters to cast ballots. "You know who you are going to vote for," Senator Obama said. "Go to the polls, get that mail in ballot."In the highly contested midwestern state of Ohio, community organizer Tina Lawrence says she's never seen so much excitement among black voters. "The fact that we've had the first serious African American candidate has added to the excitement and the interest," Lawrence said. "I think, especially from our community."Election officials in states such as Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, are reporting the heaviest early voting.  In some locations, people stand in line for hours forcing officials to extend voting hours. In these communities, thousands of African Americans are casting ballots and taking part in efforts to entice voters to the polls.In North Carolina, state officials say 58 percent of early voters have been registered Democrats compared with 25 percent registered Republicans. In Louisiana, the official numbers show 36 percent of those who have already voted are black.

"African Americans are an important voting block in several key states
that will determine the outcome of the election," . David Bositis said. He is a Researcher with the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies in Washington. "States such as
Missouri, Ohio and Florida," he explained.

Will newly registered voters vote?While the African American voting bloc has increased before this election, it remains unclear whether newly registered voters will actually vote on election day.

Carroll Doherty, a pollster with the Pew Research Center in Washington, says if they do, it could help Obama win victories in states he needs to win the election. "Based on the higher levels of engagement (among blacks), that may go up a point or two, which doesn't seem impressive, but in a state like Ohio or Virginia," Doherty said. "Which are closely contested, a point or two could make all the difference."Votes like Paula Stewart say a strong African American turnout will be more important than ever, just to counteract the votes Obama may lose from white voters, some of whom say they might not vote for Obama because he is black. "I think that's just a part of the reality of the United States," Stewart said. "It is, there will be people who vote against their own vested interest just because he's an African-American. And that's sad really."Toni GainesBut some voters like Toni Gaines believe Obama has been able to transcend any racial divide."His support base is much broader than people think," Gaines said. "And I think that a lot of people that still focus on race will get to the point where they'll realize that we want the best man for the job."Political observers predict if African American turnout at the polls reaches record levels Obama's candidacy could be further boosted, particularly if he reaches the record share of the black vote last attained 44 years ago when a Democrat won in a landslide.

 


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US Commander  in Pakistan to Discusses Regional Security

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Islamabad asks Top American general to stop US missile strikes in Pakistan
U.S. Commander David Petraeus is in Islamabad for talks with military and civilian leaders on regional security issues. His visit follows sharp criticism from Pakistani lawmakers over an increase in U.S. airstrikes against militants in Pakistan. VOA's Barry Newhouse reports from Islamabad.U.S. Gen. David Petraeus, left, talks with Pakistan's Defense Minister Chaudhry Ahmed Mukhtar during a meeting in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, 03 Nov 2008Pakistani civilian and military leaders pressed the top U.S. commander in the region to halt missile strikes against militant targets within Pakistan. General David Petraeus took charge of U.S. Central Command last week and arrived in Pakistan Sunday. A Pakistani Defense Ministry statement said officials told General Petraeus that missile strikes outrage the public, creating anti-American sentiment.Since August, about 20 missile strikes have hit suspected Taliban and al Qaida targets in Pakistan's western tribal agencies. The strikes follow a surge of militant activity in eastern Afghanistan that U.S. commanders blame on militant sanctuaries in Pakistan.  Meanwhile, militants abducted a French aid worker during morning rush hour in Kabul.  Afghan security officials said the French national was kidnapped by three gunmen off a street in Kabul at about nine-o'clock Monday morning. Roland Biache, general delegate of a French non-governmental organization in Paris, 3 Nov. 2008 Interior Ministry Spokesman Zamary Bashary said a guard with the Afghan national security agency was standing nearby when the gunmen tried to abduct the aid worker.He said the guard fought with the attackers but during the struggle they wounded him and then later killed him. He said the kidnappers escaped from the scene but police have blocked off certain neighborhoods and are searching the area.Authorities have not released the hostage's name.Residents say militants have increased kidnappings of wealthy locals in the last few months as security deteriorated on the outskirts of Kabul. Security conditions have deteriorated inside Kabul as well, with the recent killing of three foreigners during the daytime and a suicide attack against the Afghan Culture Ministry. In northern Pakistan, officials said they are continuing to search for an Afghan government advisor who was kidnapped while visiting his in-laws in Chitral on Sunday. Police officials said Akhtar Kohistani, an adviser to the Afghan Ministry of Rural Development, was kidnapped when gumen broke into his relative's home. Kohistani was the third high-profile Afghan to be kidnapped in Pakistan in recent months. Last week, the brother of Afghanistan's finance minister was kidnapped from the upscale Hayatabad district in Peshawar. Afghanistan's top diplomat was abducted from the same neighborhood in September. All of the men are still missing.


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Foreign Aid Worker Kidnapped, Afghan Killed in Kabul

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Authorities say two French nationals were walking down a street when three armed men tried to kidnap them
Afghan policemen search a car near the street where a Western aid worker was kidnapped, 03 Nov 2008Afghan officials say unidentified gunmen kidnapped a French aid worker in the capital, Kabul, Monday and shot dead an Afghan man who tried to rescue him.Authorities say two French nationals were walking down a street when three armed men tried to kidnap them.  Authorities say one of the foreigners escaped, but the attackers managed to force a French man into their car.Witnesses say an Afghan man tried to intervene, but the gunmen shot and killed him.  The victim has been identified as a driver for the nation's intelligence agency. Criminal groups have increasingly targeted foreigners in order to secure ransom money in exchange for the hostage's release.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.


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European Union May Already Be in Recession

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EU officials say the European economy shrank during one-three month period this year, and predict more declines
The global financial crisis may have already pushed Europe into a recession, and experts predict the continent's economy will grow very little or even get smaller next year. EU officials say the European economy shrank during one-three month period this year, and predict more declines. The slowing economy is likely to bring higher unemployment and higher government deficits. In the meantime, credit markets appear to be improving after a freeze in lending that helped make the economic crisis worse. A measure of banks willingness to lend to each other and businesses, called the Libor, has hit its best level since mid-September. The inter-bank interest rate improved as governments around the world gave trillions of dollars in loans, stock purchases, guarantees and other aid to ease bankers' concerns. South Korea, for example, unveiled emergency economic measures Monday, including $11 billion in tax cuts and new spending. British Prime Minister Gordon Brown says the next U.S. president should be a leader on the global economy and refrain from protectionism. He says the whole world will want to work with the United States on a common economic agenda that boosts the global economy, reforms the financial system, and promotes free trade. The economic crisis began with America's troubled housing market and has spread throughout the world. Investors had a mixed reaction to the economic news. U.S. and European markets were mixed while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index moved up more than two percent.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.


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South Korea to Spend Nearly $11 Billion to Stimulate Economy

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Government says $4 billion is earmarked for infrastructure projects, rest of funds allocated to provide relief for small and medium-sized businesses
South Korea has announced a robust government spending plan to prevent its economy from slowing down too rapidly, as a result of the worldwide financial crisis.  With a potential drop in exports on the horizon, this is the latest move by Seoul to shield Asia's fourth-largest economy from the global credit squeeze.  VOA's Kurt Achin has more from the South Korean capital.Foreigners shop on a street in downtown Seoul, South Korea,  2008South Korean government ministers announced a spike in government spending plans Monday, aimed at stimulating the economy in the face of global slowdown.Seoul says it will spend nearly $11 billion above and beyond the budget it submitted to lawmakers earlier this month.  About $4 billion is earmarked for infrastructure projects, such as building hospitals and schools.  The rest of the funds are to provide relief for small and medium-sized businesses and expand investment by public companies.  South Korean Finance Minister Kang Man-su says the increased spending is a direct response to the financial crisis.He says financial market uncertainties have been aggravated and are now exerting an impact on the real economy.  Only weeks ago, South Korea predicted the country's economy would grow this year by five percent.  Kang says Monday's stimulus package reflects updated, more pessimistic assumptions.He says the economy may expand by only around three percent next year.  He says it will difficult to achieve growth, if global economic conditions further worsen.South Korean analysts have been especially alarmed by a drop in export growth to a 13-month low in October.  Exports are a key driver of South Korea's economy, which is the world's 13th largest.  Several major American banks collapsed last month, because of so-called "toxic assets" in their holdings.  That caused confidence between major international lenders to plunge, as each institution began doubting whether others could repay short term loans.South Korea's currency, the Won, nosedived in recent weeks, as investors took refuge in the American dollar, which they perceive for now as safe.  In a radio address, earlier Monday, South Korean President Lee Myung bak said that volatility problem has been addressed.He says South Korea's recent currency swap arrangement with the United States has alleviated concerns that South Korea would not have enough dollars to conduct its trade activities. The swap deal allows South Korea to borrow up to $30 billion, on short notice, in exchange for deposits in Korean won.  The deal is seen as largely symbolic, because South Korea already possesses more than $230 billion in foreign reserves.

 


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Twin Bombings Kill Six in Baghdad

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Authorities say about 20 others, including 10 police officers, have been wounded in the near simultaneous blasts
Injured men are transported to Ibn al-Nafees hospital, after a bomb explosion in Baghdad, Iraq, on Monday, 03 Nov. 2008Iraqi security officials say at least six people were killed early Monday when two bombs exploded in central Baghdad.Authorities say about 20 others, including 10 police officers, were wounded in the near simultaneous blasts. No group immediately claimed responsibility for the attack.In separate violence today, security officials say one of Iraq's deputy oil ministers, Sahib Salman Qutub, survived a bomb attack outside his house in a Baghdad neighborhood.  He was lightly wounded, and one of his employees was seriously injured in the blast.In political news, Iraqi officials said Sunday they expect the Bush administration to respond to Iraq's proposed amendments to a draft security pact after Tuesday's U.S. presidential election.U.S. and Iraqi officials have been trying since May to finalize a deal that would allow U.S. troops to remain in Iraq after a U.N. mandate expires at the end of December.Iraq is proposing changes to a draft agreement to give Baghdad more authority over U.S. troops and guarantee that Iraqi territory will not be used to attack other countries.

Some information for this report was provided by AP and Reuters.


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Australia Sets Up New Tsunami Warning System

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New center, located in Melbourne, will provide regional monitoring system for 29 countries on Indian Ocean rim
Australia has introduced a tsunami warning system, which experts hope will become an integral link in a network stretching across the Indian and Pacific oceans.  The Australian Tsunami Warning Center will help provide a regional monitoring system for 29 countries on the rim of the Indian Ocean.  From Sydney, Phil Mercer reports.The Australian tsunami warning system is part of what officials hope will be a network of centers across the Indian Ocean that share scientific data.Indonesia, which was badly hit by the Indian Ocean tsunami four years ago, is expected to have its own early warning mechanism working by the end of the year.Baan Nam Khem, Khao Lak Phang Nga Province, Southern Thailand - hardest hit from Dec 26 tsunami The Australian project is based in the southern city of Melbourne and relies on high technology deep sea buoys.  Five are in waters northwest of Australia, while others are off the continent's east coast in the Coral Sea.  Additional buoys are further south in the Tasman Sea.Barry Drummond from the government's Geoscience office says the new system will provide accurate information about the risks of giant waves."Rather than saying a tsunami is on its way and it may impact the coastline of whichever state, the center is now in a position to be able to say, along that coastline these areas are more susceptible than those and in these areas the threat will be to things in the water; swimmers, boats, harbors and that sort of things and within these other areas the tsunami may come ashore and then these are the areas that you have to worry about," explained Drummond.  "So far more detail.  It allows us not to over-warn and ensures we don't under-warn."The sensitive monitoring equipment allows scientists to pinpoint the location of an earthquake that could trigger a tsunami, its depth and strength. Tidal waves wash through houses at Maddampegama, about 60 kilometers south of Colombo, Sri LankaThe Australian system also will provide sea level and seismic data to vulnerable island nations in the Pacific Ocean and also to authorities in Japan.The epicenter of the undersea earthquake that triggered the December 26, 2004, Indian Ocean tsunami occurred off the west coast of Sumatra in Indonesia.More than 200,000 people were killed in 11 countries.  Many coastal areas were swamped by waves up to 30 meters high.  It was one of the world's worst natural disasters.  Indonesia, Thailand, India and Sri Lanka were hardest hit.Unlike the Pacific, the Indian Ocean did not have a system to warn coastal communities that a tsunami was on the way. In the aftermath of the 2004 disaster, scientists and governments began working on an alert network for the Indian Ocean region. 

 

 


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54 Dead in Vietnam Flooding

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Heavy rains affected tens of thousands of people in Vietnam, China; many people missing
People ride a boat to go through a flooded street in Hanoi, Vietnam, 03 Nov 2008Officials say 54 people have died in north and central Vietnam after more than three days of heavy flooding. Authorities say more than 18 people were killed in the capital, Hanoi, where many of the streets remain under water.Forecasters say more rain is expected through Tuesday. Parts of the country have seen more than 30 centimeters of rain in a single day.In China, officials say 26 people were killed, and 41 were reported missing, after heavy rains caused a series of mudslides in the country's southwest Yunnan province. Authorities say more than 410,000 people have been affected by the weather. The official Xinhua news agency reports that 1,000 homes have collapsed and more than 2,300 were damaged.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters. 


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Magazine Calls on New US President to Have National AIDS Strategy

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POZ Magazine says more than one million Americans are HIV positive, many don't know they're infected


A leading magazine on HIV/AIDS says whoever wins the US
presidential election Tuesday, November 4th, should develop a
national strategy to fight the disease. POZ Magazine says more than one million
Americans live with HIV and 14 thousand people died of the disease in the
United States in 2006. It's estimated that 25 percent of those infected with
the AIDS virus don't know it.


Regan Hofmann, editor-in-chief of POZ, spoke from
New York to VOA English to Africa Service reporter Joe De Capua about why a
national AIDS strategy is needed.


"For the entire epidemic to date, now almost 28
years, we've had sort of a combination of small grassroots work being done and
then large-scale projects and initiatives, but there hasn't been the
coordination that is needed to make sure that all of the people, who are living
with HIV, can access care and treatment," she says.


The epidemic in the United States is larger than
many realized. "The CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) this
summer announced that the numbers for HIV incidents in the US over the last
five years were about 40 percent higher than we previously estimated. AIDS is
not going away in America. It's a preventable disease. So, something's broken
here because we know how to stop the disease. We can prevent the transmission
of HIV and yet we're not. We know how to keep people alive and yet people are
still dying of AIDS in America," she says.


She says whoever wins the election should
"acknowledge" that there is an AIDS epidemic in the United States "and puts
forward a plan immediately to deal with it. The funding is not commensurate
with the need in the United States."


Hofmann says many federal and state AIDS-related
programs have faced significant budget cuts in recent years.


POZ recommends seven steps to deal with the AIDS
epidemic in the United States, including addressing stigma and discrimination.
Hofmann says, "The number one barrier, I believe, to people getting tested and
people coming forward for care is stigma, fear of what's going to happen to
them when they tell people they have HIV. I lived anonymously with HIV for 10
years. I didn't want to tell anybody because I was afraid I would lose my
family, my friends, my job, house. We have to change the way the world sees
AIDS."


She says the culture of blaming and condemning
someone who's HIV positive must end. "This is a retrovirus. It's nothing more
and nothing less, but we have to change the way that people think about AIDS so
that people aren't afraid to get tested. They aren't afraid to go and get care.
People who have HIV didn't do anything bad. And yet society, and even those
living with the disease, sometimes think otherwise," she says.


POZ recommends identifying "evidence-based
prevention tactics that work and tailor them to individual audiences." The
editor-in-chief says, "There's no one silver bullet for a prevention message.
You have to speak directly to people in a way that resonates with them. You
have to show them people they can identify with. You have to acknowledge what
their lifestyle is and make recommendations that are reasonable within that
lifestyle."


She warns that many young people, who were born
after the initial fear that AIDS caused, are ignorant about how the disease can
be prevented. As a result, she says many are engaging in risky sexual behavior,
such as oral or anal sex, thinking HIV cannot be contract by these methods.


Hofmann says that more money must be spent to
find a vaccine or cure for the disease because the cost of treatment and
prevention will continue to rise. "This has become a global economic crisis.
It's been a humanitarian crisis for a long, long time…. We're looking at how in
the world the world is going to be able to pay for all of these people. So,
there's absolutely incentive, I think, to look for the answer to this disease.
We can't bear the cost of AIDS.


For more on the POZ Magazine article, AIDS
in the White House, go to www.poz.com.


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Sunday, 2 November 2008

Your VOANews.com Headlines (UTF-8)

Check out our Special Report on the Financial Crisis.  Don't miss feature writer Ted Landphair's America - a  blog on American life. And remember to log on to USAVotes2008.com, our election community site, where you can discuss U.S. politics with others around the world.


Obama Leads McCain in Final Push for White House

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National polls show Obama with lead, but some key states very close
Obama (D-IL) speaks during a campaign rally at Parkview High School and McCain addresses a campaign rally in Perkasie, Pennsylvania, 01 Nov 2008Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama and his Republican rival John McCain are making their final push for votes, with rallies in highly contested states two days before the U.S. election.Senator McCain starts the day in the eastern U.S. state of Pennsylvania with a rally near Philadelphia, while Senator Obama embarks on a series of campaign events in the midwestern state of Ohio.Ohio and Pennsylvania combined account for 15 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.  Under the U.S. system the president is chosen in a state-by-state race for electors who then officially elect the president. National polls indicate Obama continues to hold a lead, although several key states remain tight.One opinion poll by Reuters, C-Span and Zogby, released today shows Obama with a six-point lead over McCain, 50 percent to 44 percent, among likely voters. McCain Does Comedy

Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain speaks at a rally at the Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Virginia, 01 Nov 2008On Saturday, McCain appeared on the comedy television show Saturday
Night Live, where he poked fun at his campaign and his latest plan to
win voters.  He joked that he might resort to a "reverse maverick"
strategy and do whatever anyone tells him.Earlier, at rallies in Virginia and Pennsylvania, McCain promised
to keep taxes low, create jobs and strengthen the ailing economy.Obama,
appearing in Nevada, Colorado and Missouri, also focused on the
economy, vowing to cut taxes for working families and steer the country
back to financial health.Polls indicate the country's financial
turmoil has helped Obama pull ahead in the race.  Surveys report that
the majority of respondents believe Obama is better able to handle the
economic crisis.

Obama Leads Polls Obama waves as he arrives at a rally in Henderson, Nevada, 01 Nov 2008Polls indicate the country's financial turmoil has helped Obama pull ahead in the race.  Surveys report that the majority of respondents believe Obama is better able to handle the economic crisis.Nevada, Colorado and Missouri voted Republican in the last two presidential elections, but Obama has made significant gains in all three states.In Virginia, McCain is defending what has been a reliable Republican state.  Pennsylvania has historically supported Democratic presidential candidates, but McCain needs that state to help win the race.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.


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Suicide Bomber Kills 8 in Pakistan

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Authorities say the attacker detonated the explosives-laden truck at a Frontier Corps checkpoint in South Waziristan, roughly 20 kilometers outside the main town of Wana
 Pakistani officials say a suicide bomber rammed his vehicle into a paramilitary checkpoint in a tribal area near the Afghan border Sunday, killing eight troops.Authorities say the attacker detonated the explosives-laden truck at a Frontier Corps checkpoint in South Waziristan, roughly 20 kilometers outside the main town of Wana.  Pakistan's tribal areas, in the northwest of the country, are considered to be Taliban and al-Qaida militant strongholds. Today's attack comes two days after suspected U.S. missile strikes in northwestern Pakistan.  Intelligence officials say more than 20 people, including a mid-level al-Qaida leader, were killed in those strikes.In Islamabad Sunday the International Committee of the Red Cross issued an appeal for $7.8 million in emergency funding to help the victims of last week's earthquake in the southwest.Officials say Wednesday's quake in mountainous Baluchistan province killed about 300 people and left tens of thousands homeless.  The Red Cross says the priority is to provide shelter for quake victims as winter sets in.

 

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters. 

 


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20 Dead, 42 Missing in China Mudslide

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Xinhua news agency says that torrent of mud and rock hit near Chuxiong city in southwestern Yunnan province 
China's official media say a mudslide in southwestern Yunnan province Sunday has killed at least 20 people and left about 42 missing.The official Xinhua news agency said that a torrent of mud and rocks hit near Chuxiong city in the afternoon.  The agency quoted local officials who said the number of people killed is still uncertain.The mountainous Yunnan region has been pounded by heavy rains in recent days.  The report said officials are still investigating the causes of the mudslide.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters. 


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Israeli Security Chief Warns of Possible Assassination Attempt

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Head of Israel's Shin Bet security service has warned that Jewish extremists could try to assassinate an Israeli leader
An Israeli security chief has warned that politicians could again be targeted by Jewish militants.  Robert Berger reports from the VOA bureau in Jerusalem.Head of the Shin Bet, Israel's Security Agency, Yuval Diskin (file)The head of Israel's Shin Bet security service has warned that Jewish extremists could try to assassinate an Israeli leader.  Yuval Diskin told the Cabinet the aim would be to torpedo peace moves with the Palestinians. It is a sensitive issue-this week, Israel marks the 13th anniversary of the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin by a Jewish militant opposed to his peace policies.There has been growing tension between militant Jewish settlers in the West Bank and the Israeli government.  Prime Minister Ehud Olmert lashed out at the settlers for recent attacks on Israeli soldiers and Palestinian civilians. Mr. Olmert told the Cabinet that most settlers are law-abiding citizens who love the people and Land of Israel.  But he said there is also a group, that is not small, that is threatening the rule of law in the State of Israel.  Mr. Olmert said it is intolerable. Defense Minister Ehud Barak concurred.  "The settlers who are breaking the law are a threat to the state," he said."  "This is a dangerous phenomenon" that will not be allowed.Militant settlers are angry over the government's peace talks with the Palestinians, which could lead to Israel relinquishing most of the West Bank and parts of Jerusalem.  The settlers believe that violates God's command to settle all the biblical Land of Israel.  So 13 years after the Rabin assassination, there are growing fears it could happen again.  

 

 


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World Economic Forum Focuses on Global Cooperation

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Participants worried about economic conditions, but say they have reasons for cautious optimism
The World Economic Forum met in Turkey for a three-day meeting to come up with solutions to the global economic crisis. For VOA, Dorian Jones reports from Istanbul.Two key messages came out of the gathering of the World Economic Forum: Tough times lie ahead for the world economy. But there are reasons for cautious optimism.There was a general consensus among participants at the meeting that the global economy would not recover from the slowdown for 18 months to three years. And, top economists and bankers warned the severity of that slowdown and its length was dependent on whether international cooperation between governments and financial and business institutions continued. There was a warning that companies in the developed world would succumb to public calls for protectionism and withdraw from emerging markets, causing more damage to their already struggling economies. Senior Adviser to French bank BNP Paribas, Jean Lemierre, said that European and U.S. politicians may find such pressure difficult to resist because of taxpayers recently coming to the rescue of failing banking institutions. "You have a new partner today, taxpayers, hundreds of millions of taxpayers in European and United states, they were not so much part of the debate, now they key part of the system because they have saved the system," he said.The three-day meeting, which ended Saturday, also played up some positive aspects of the crisis. Many focused on business opportunities that might arise from the economic slowdown and how Turkey could act as a bridge between Europe, Asia and the Middle East.Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan said there was an upside to possible future economic shocks, which could further weaken an already fragile international financial system.  "I think this crisis made us realize we are living in a global village , that we are so close and so affected from each other.  And we can act together in a meaningful way when there is a necessity," he said.This month, leaders of the countries with the most powerful developed and developing economies will meet in Washington in an effort to figure out what caused the global financial crisis and what they can do about it. President Bush will host the meeting of the Group of 20 - a meeting seen as important to maintaining the momentum of international cooperation. 


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Rupiah Banda Sworn in as Zambian President

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Rupiah Banda takes the oath of office during a ceremony in the capital, Lusaka


In Zambia, Rupiah Banda has been sworn in as president after being declared the winner in Thursday's presidential election. Officials say Mr. Banda defeated opposition leader Michael Sata by a margin of two percentage points of the vote, but Sata's party is contesting. VOA's Scott Bobb reports from our bureau in Dakar. Rupiah Banda is pictured as he is sworn in as Zambia's fourth president in Lusaka, 02 Nov 2008Rupiah Banda took the oath of office as Zambia's president, saying his administration would continue to welcome foreign investors and fight corruption. But he but added that its main focus would be the fight against poverty.

"We have come a long way these last seven years but there is still much to do. Too many Zambians have been left behind," said Banda. "They do not share in the economic prosperity of the Zambian economy."Mr. Banda also urged the opposition to set aside petty squabbles after a short, but intense, electoral campaign. He said he did not intend to govern a divided nation.Mr. Banda was sworn into office two hours after Zambia's Electoral Commission declared he won Thursday's presidential election with 40 percent of the vote, to opposition leader Michael Sata's 38 percent. Two other candidates divided the remaining votes. A burntout billboard from the riots protesting the victory of Rupiah Banda in Zambia, 02 Nov 2008 Sata had jumped to an early lead Friday as initial returns came in from his strongholds in urban areas and Zambia's mining zones. But Mr. Banda overtook him Saturday as late election results came in from rural areas where his support is greatest.The spokesman for Sata's Patriotic Front party, Given Lubinda, said the party would demand a recount because it had received evidence the poll was rigged."We do not and will not accept the election results that are being announced by the Electoral Commission of Zambia," said Lubinda.He said the party would seek legal redress through the Zambian courts.But monitors from the Southern African Economic Community declared the elections free and transparent. The head of an observer group from the Electoral Institute for Southern Africa, Leshele Thoahlane, agreed."The stations that we went to, people were voting peacefully," said Thoahlane. "We did not see any acts of violence or acts of intimidation."The elections were called after President Levy Mwanawasa died from a stroke in August.Mr. Banda campaigned on pledges to continue Mr. Mwanawasa's pro-business policies which, along with a strong anti-corruption campaign, is credited with taming inflation and bringing five-percent annual economic growth.Sata campaigned on the need for change, saying that the economic gains had not reached the poor who make up two-thirds of the population.Voter turnout was less than 50 percent. Some observers say this was because of the short time available to prepare voters. Others say it was because the winner will only serve two years, the time remaining in Mr. Mwanawasa's term.


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Lord's Resistance Raids DRC Village

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United Nations says Sunday nine people have been killed in the battle between the LRA and Congolese government soldiers
Ugandan rebels attacked a northern Democratic Republic of Congo village Saturday. The United Nations said Sunday that nine people were killed in the battle between the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) and Congolese government soldiers. A spokesperson for the U.N. mission in the DRC said between 30 to 50 LRA members raided the village of Dungu.   The LRA attack on Dungu is separate from the conflict in eastern North Kivu province, where a Tutsi rebel offensive has displaced tens of thousands of civilians.  The LRA has waged a 20-year war against the Ugandan government.   In recent years, the group has become a regional threat, setting up bases and abducting civilians in the DRC, southern Sudan, and the Central African Republic.

 

Some information for this report was provided by AFP and Reuters.


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UN Raps Congo on Human Rights Abuse

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UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay says she is alarmed over killings and other human rights violations in DRC
U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay says she is alarmed over the increasing number of killings and other human-rights violations recorded during the past few days in the Democratic Republic of Congo's North Kivu province. Escalating fighting between government and rebel forces has displaced tens of thousands of civilians. Lisa Schlein reports for VOA from Geneva. UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, South African judge Navanethem (Navi) Pillay (File)Top U.N. human rights official Navi Pillay is calling on all parties to respect human rights international law. She says she fears a repeat of the same kind of horrendous human-rights violations that have occurred during previous outbreaks of fighting in this region.These she says have included large-scale summary and arbitrary executions, rapes, disappearances, torture, harassment, unlawful arrest and arbitrary detention. The High Commissioner's spokesman, Rupert Colville, says during the past few days, a number of fresh violations have been recorded by U.N. human rights staff in North Kivu."In the provincial capital Goma, looting, killings and rapes appear to have been carried out primarily by soldiers belonging to the national army known as the FARDC, many of whom fled the fighting further north," said Colville. "Other very serious abuses, including targeted killings, have been reported from areas held by forces of the National Congress for the Defense of the People, commanded by Laurent Nkunda."

Colville recounts a number of specific cases of abuse committed by Congolese government troops. He says U.N. human rights officers visited a number of houses. He says they gathered information about civilians, including children, who were murdered and wounded while soldiers were looting the premises.  He says U.N. human-rights monitors have documented violations perpetrated by rebel troops or forces of the National Congress for the Defense of the People, known by the acronym CNDP."In rebel-held areas north of Goma, CNDP fighters are reported to have fired indiscriminately at a clinic into which government soldiers had fled, leading to civilian casualties, and later in the week a similar incident took place at a clinic in Rutshuru," said Colville. "Human-rights activists appear to be targeted.  Activists in both Goma and rebel-held areas have told U. N. staff that they have been threatened or narrowly escaped being killed. There is fear of both forces, the army and CNDP."  Colville says there is no figure on the total number of civilians killed.U.N. High Commissioner Pillay is calling for the government of Joseph Kabila to put in place radical institutional reforms. She says the country's security forces must be taught to fully respect the human rights of its citizens.She notes most violations in North Kivu's provincial capital, Goma should not have happened because they were committed by looting soldiers belonging to the government forces.  She is urging the government to take swift and significant action to control its soldiers and to protect the civilian population.  

 


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South Africa to Get New Political Party

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Co-convenor of convention and former premier of Gauteng Province, Mbhazima Shilowa received thunderous applause when he announced the decision
About 6,000 delegates at a national convention in South Africa have resolved to establish a new political party next month. But as VOA's Delia Robertson reports from the convention, the name of the new party will only be known next week.

Former Prime Minister of Gauteng Province, Mbazima Shilowa (file)The co-convenor of the convention and former premier of Gauteng Province, Mbhazima Shilowa received thunderous applause when he announced the decision.

"So we are no more debating whether or not there shall be a new political formation," Shilowa said. "We have taken that decision. "We are no more debating whether or not we are going to launch that party. We are going to launch it on the 16th [of December] in the Free State."

As other speakers before him noted, Shilowa said many delegates who resigned from the ruling African National Congress to join the new movement have paid a price for doing so.

"Many of you too have taken a conscious decision that says we are leaving the African national congress," Shilowa said. "Some of you have done it at great cost to yourselves - insults, vilification, name calling, disruption of your meetings, threats - but you said we have taken a decision, we have joined [the ANC] freely, we are going to leave freely, the constitution allows us to do so."

Organizers of the event had planned for four-thousand delegates, but demand was so high they registered more than six thousand. And despite their appeals that people should not arrive without a confirmed registration, thousands more came anyway, forcing organizers to set up large outdoor television screens in a sports stadium to accommodate the overflow.

Late Saturday, many of those were partying and celebrating in the streets of nearby suburbs.

The conference was billed as an event in support of democracy and most speakers referred to examples of how they see the ruling ANC subverting the institutions of democracy for personal gain. Even so, organizers urged delegates not to get bogged down with resentment and anger and instead focus on how they can change things in the future.

But it was clear they know it is the ANC they will have defeat in future elections, and Shilowa assured them it is possible.

"There are those who have said, a liberation movement as powerful as the African national congress cannot be taken on, I stand here today on behalf of this preparatory committee, to say not only do we intend to tackle it, we intend to win the next elections," Shilowa said. 

But many analysts say Shilowa was being too ambitious - that it is most unlikely the new party will win the election next year. But they say it is clear this new party has the potential to become the ANC's most serious opponent. 

 

 

 

 


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Saturday, 1 November 2008

Your VOANews.com Headlines (UTF-8)

Check out our Special Report on the Financial Crisis.  Don't miss feature writer Ted Landphair's America - a  blog on American life. And remember to log on to USAVotes2008.com, our election community site, where you can discuss U.S. politics with others around the world.


Obama, McCain Dash for Votes in Final Push

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Democratic presidential candidate continues to hold lead over Republican rival, as they race through key states
Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. Barack Obama greets supporters as he arrives at a rally in Highland, Indiana, 31Oct 2008Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama continues to hold a lead over Republican John McCain, as the two candidates race through key states in a final push for support three days before the national election.Senator Obama is campaigning Saturday in Nevada, Colorado and Missouri.  The three states voted Republican in the last two presidential elections, but the Democrat has made significant gains in all three.  Surveys compiled by realclearpolitics.com show the Illinois senator has a solid lead in Nevada and Colorado.  The race is a statistical dead heat in Missouri.Senator McCain is taking his fight for the White House to two important states - Pennsylvania and Virginia - in which polls show he is behind.   In Virginia, McCain is defending reliably Republican turf.  Pennsylvania has historically supported Democratic presidential candidates, but McCain needs that state to help win the race.McCain Saturday continued to target working class families, promising to keep taxes low, create jobs and strengthen the country's ailing economy.Polls show the country's financial turmoil has helped Obama pull ahead in the race.  Surveys show the majority of respondents believe Obama is better able to handle the economic crisis.An average of nationwide opinion surveys shows Obama ahead of McCain by more than six percent.  McCain also will appear today on the late night television comedy program Saturday Night Live.  His vice presidential running mate, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, is making stops in North Carolina and Florida.Obama appealed for votes in today's weekly Democratic radio address.  His running mate, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden, is attending events in Indiana and Ohio.

 

Some information for this report was provided by AP. 


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Bush: National Election Example to the World

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US president encouraging all Americans to vote in national elections Tuesday and prove to world that self-government can endure
President BushU.S. President George Bush is encouraging all Americans to vote in
national elections Tuesday and prove to the world that self-government
can endure.During his weekly radio address Saturday, Mr. Bush
said U.S. elections serve as a model, especially to young democracies
such at Georgia, Ukraine, Afghanistan and Iraq.The president said Americans have demonstrated that for two centuries a free people have been able to choose their own leaders.He said the nation has flourished because of its commitment to trusting the wisdom of the people.President
Bush also called on voters to recall the sacrifices made by generations
of Americans in uniform to preserve America's way of life. 


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Africans Watch US Elections With Great Interest

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Among those following presidential election, Democrat Barack Obama favored by far to defeat Republican John McCain in Tuesday's vote
Africans, like many people around the world, are watching with great interest as the United States prepares to choose its next president. Correspondent Scott Bobb has this sampling of what some on the continent are thinking about the election and what to expect from it. Sen. Barack Obama campaigns in Iowa, 31 Oct. 2008Among Africans following the U.S. presidential election, Democratic Party candidate Barack Obama is favored by far to defeat Republican Party candidate John McCain in Tuesday's vote.This is in part because of Obama's ancestral links to the continent. He was born to a Kenyan father and a Caucasian American mother.But a Kenyan law student in Nairobi, Simon Wekesa, says Obama's popularity also comes from his work in the African-American community in the United States."Obama is an American. He has been in America for a large part of his life," he said. "But since black Americans are still Africans and Obama has a direct link with Kenya."He says if the Democratic Party candidate loses it will be because of racial discrimination.But Kenyan political scientist Barack Muluka does not think racism is such a big factor."If it was a matter of race then Barak Obama would not even have gotten to where he is at this point," he said. "I think we want to [should] give the people of the United States of America a little bit more credit and credence than we seem to be doing."Senegalese civil servant Mamadou Diallo says Obama's popularity in Africa comes primarily from his concern for less fortunate people. He says if Obama wins it will not be because he is black or Negro but because he represents the poor which is the largest sector of American society.But a teacher in Senegal, Said Nyang, says an Obama election will send a major signal to the world. He says it will be a revolution because Obama will show other countries that it is possible for someone with black skin to change the world.One of the changes anticipated is a change in U.S. foreign policy, which has come under considerable criticism from abroad. Zimbabwean teacher Tafara Moyo says this will happen, no matter which candidate wins."This is primarily because the outgoing president, has had a very unpopular foreign policy which though premised on somewhat justifiable questions of 'war on terror', in their own words, it is clearly increasingly looking illegitimate and rash especially if you look at the hot spots in the world such as Iraq and Afghanistan," he said. Sen. John McCain in Dayton, Ohio, 27 Oct. 2008But a member of the Mauritanian parliament, Mohamed Babane, believes John McCain is the best choice because he will maintain stability at home and abroad. He says Mauritanians are very interested in the American election because if there is stability in America, there is stability in the world.Nouakchott University Professor Hadramy Ould Khatry disagrees."We think that Obama will be more peaceful, will be more moderate and will not have that Bush doctrine that would impose a more or less moralistic view on them," he said.Senegalese engineer Serge Malo says he hopes the next American president will do more to ease poverty on the continent. He says an Obama administration would press for more favorable international trade and development policies toward Africa.He says Africans are expecting a lot from Obama in regards to poverty and Africa because during the campaign he showed a strong humanitarian and social side.But Kenyan student Polly John does not think an Obama victory will have a big impact on Africa."Obama is not a president of Africa," she said. "So, in case he wins, he will probably concentrate on the United States although he will have those friendly contacts with Kenya."A university student in Senegal, Francis Gomez says an Obama victory would set an example for Africa's youth. She says it will show young Africans that only hard work pays, that they are wasting their time with useless wars and they should not sit in misery waiting for aid from the Americans, the Chinese or others.She concludes that Africans should believe in the African dream because they have enough intellectual and natural resources to bring about change. All that is needed, she says, is a change of attitude. 


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British PM Urges Oil Rich Gulf States to Stabilize World Economy

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Gordon Brown left London Saturday for four-day tour of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates
Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown during question-and-answer session at Imperial College, in London, 27 Oct 2008 Prime Minister Gordon Brown says oil-rich countries in the Middle East should help stabilize the global financial system.Mr. Brown left London Saturday for a four-day tour of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. He hopes to persuade regional leaders to give extra funds to countries hit by the economic crisis.Before departing, Mr. Brown told reporters he thinks oil rich states will want to play a part in solving the global economic downturn. He said it is in no one's interest to have volatile oil prices.The British leader also has called on China to help ease the economic crisis.New economic reports from the U.S. Commerce Department show more evidence of a global slowdown.The reports, released Friday, said U.S. consumer spending suffered its sharpest decline in four years in September.  Another report released this week showed the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.India's central bank cut its key interest rate Saturday, joining other central banks around the world in their efforts to ease the economic strain.Lower interest rates make it easier for businesses to borrow the money they need to buy new equipment, expand their operations and hire new people.Saudi Arabia's stock market, the largest in the Arab world, rose three percent at the start of the trading week Saturday.The financial crisis began in the United States when people failed to pay back billions of dollars worth of home loans. Without that money, banks had trouble loaning to companies that keep the U.S. economy running. Several major U.S. financial institutions collapsed, triggering a plunge in world stock markets.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP, AP and Reuters.


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US Forces Kill 19 Militants in Eastern Afghanistan Raids

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Military says troops conducting several raids targeting al-Qaida, Taliban and Haqqani militant networks
The U.S. military in Afghanistan says troops conducting several raids
targeting al-Qaida, Taliban and Haqqani militant networks have killed
19 fighters. VOA's Barry Newhouse reports from neighboring Pakistan
that there are also news reports that the head of British special
forces in Afghanistan has resigned after complaining of a lack of
equipment. U.S. soldiers of the Third Platoon Delta Company 1-26 stand guard during a patrol in Narang district near Pakistani border in Kunar province eastern Afghanistan, 01 Nov 2008The U.S. military has been engaged in heavy
fighting in eastern Afghanistan for months against groups of Afghan and
Pakistani militants as well as foreign fighters. Lieutenant Commander Walter Matthews says one of Friday's raids targeted a compound of an al-Qaida leader. "In
Dara Noor District, coalition forces targeted a known al-Qaida leader,
believed to facilitate the movement of foreign fighters and weapons
into Kunar province," he said. "The al-Qaida leader is also believed to
be in contact with other militants in the region, coordinating attacks
against coalition forces and innocent civilians."The military did not say if the leader was killed during the raid, but said troops killed one armed woman during the operation. Local officials say they are looking into reports that some civilians were killed during the operation. Other
operations targeted the so-called Haqqani network, a group of militants
led by Jalauddin Haqqani, a long-time Afghan guerrilla commander who
U.S. officials have alleged has ties to al-Qaida militants and
Pakistani intelligence agents. Meanwhile, a British newspaper
says the head of the country's elite special forces in Afghanistan has
abruptly resigned because of a lack of armored vehicles for his troops.
The Daily Telegraph reported Major Sebastian Morely claimed The
British Defense Ministry ignored his warnings that the military's
lightly armored "Snatch Land Rovers" are too vulnerable for the Afghan
mission. The major blamed the deaths of four troops on what he called
the ministry's "chronic underinvestment." The Defense Ministry
responded that officials are focused on providing vehicles to protect
troops from "ever-shifting threats posed by the enemy."

 


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Gates Calls for More Coherent Afghan Strategy

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US secretary of defense believes General David Petraeus can help provide such approach
U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates says the United States and its allies need a more coherent strategy in Afghanistan. And he believes General David Petraeus, who took command of U.S. forces throughout the Middle East and Central Asia on Friday, can help provide such an approach. VOA's Al Pessin reports from Washington.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates (left) at change of command ceremony with Gen. David Petraeus, 31 Oct 2008With violence down in Iraq, much of the Pentagon's attention is shifting to Afghanistan where the Taliban, al-Qaida and associated groups have increased their attacks in recent months. That is why Secretary Gates moved his successful Iraq commander, General Petraeus, to U.S. Central Command, where he will have ultimate responsibility for both wars.

After attending the general's change of command ceremony in Florida, Secretary Gates told reporters on his aircraft he believes the international effort in Afghanistan needs a better overall approach. "I think that the military strategy throughout Afghanistan and with our coalition partners needs greater coherence. And I think General Petraeus can help General McKiernan in doing that."

General David McKiernan is the top U.S. commander in Kabul, and he also answers to the NATO command, whose countries have thousands of troops working alongside U.S. and Afghan forces. The complex structure makes the job of developing and implementing a coherent strategy particularly difficult. Past commanders have tried, with limited success. But Secretary Gates believes General Petraeus, who is widely credited with turning around the war in Iraq, is the right man to try again.

"While the two wars we're in are very different, the need to integrate military and civilian is a common theme, and the need to be as inclusive as possible in trying to bring people together. And so I think he brings a broad strategic understanding of the challenges that we face."

Secretary Gates also called for the expansion of the Afghan army, perhaps beyond the 134-thousand already agreed to. It is now about half that size. Gates said all parties involved agree on the need to move as quickly as possible to expand the Afghan forces. He said the fight, "needs to be an Afghan war, not an American war and not a NATO war."

Gen. David Petraeus, left, shakes hands with outgoing head U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Martin Dempsey in Tampa, Fla., 31 Oct. 2008 General Petraeus called for a comprehensive approach to the Afghan conflict as he took command, and he has said some principles he used in Iraq will apply, including increasing security, and that he will need more U.S. troops to do the job. Gates confirmed Friday he has approved sending three more brigades and their support forces, well over ten thousand troops. But they will not be available until the new administration takes office in January.

Gates spent more than a year trying to persuade NATO allies to send more troops to Afghanistan, but he said Friday he does not expect the allies to do much more than they have already done, requiring the further increase in U.S. troops. There are already 32,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan, along with about 37,000 from other NATO countries, but many of the allied troops operate under their own special restrictions.

Petraeus has put together a 200-member team to review the Afghanistan strategy and he is expected to travel to the region almost immediately. His review, along with one being done at the Pentagon and another at the White House, should all be ready for the new president to review next year. Petraeus and the other U.S. military commanders will remain in place when the political leadership changes.


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Zambia Opposition Leader Sata's Lead Narrows as Vote Count Continues

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Elections were called following death in August of late President Levy Mwanawasa from stroke
In Zambia, opposition leader Michel Sata is maintaining a slim lead over rival, Acting President Rupiah Banda, as vote tabulation continues from Thursday's presidential election. With more than three-fourths of the vote counted, Sata has 40 percent of the vote while Mr. Banda has 38 percent. VOA's Scott Bobb reports from our bureau in Dakar.Zambia's main opposition leader of the Patriotic Front, Michael Sata talks to the media after casting his vote in Lusaka, 30 Oct 2008Veteran opposition leader Michael Sata sprang into an early lead as the first election returns came in from his strongholds in urban areas and Zambia's mining zones.However, acting president Rupiah Banda gradually gained ground as results began to come in from rural areas where his support is greatest.The elections were called following the death in August of the late President Levy Mwanawasa from a stroke.An analyst with South Africa's Institute for Security Studies, Judy Smith-Hohn, says as a result the campaign was short though heated."It's been a very highly contested election," she said. "They have had a very short time to actually prepare for it. So it's hard to tell what the tendencies, how it would have been if they had had a few months' chance to actually get the battle going."Mr. Banda campaigned pledging to continue Mr. Mwanawasa's pro-business and corruption fighting policies. These are credited for taming inflation and bringing five percent annual economic growth.Sata campaigned on the need for change saying that the economic gains had not reached the poor.Voter turnout was low for the election. Some observers say this was because of the short time available to prepare voters. Others say it was because the winner will only serve two years, the time remaining in Mr. Mwanawasa's term.The opposition has complained of rigging. But election officials maintain that the vote was free and fair.In the elections two years ago, Sata complained of rigging after he was narrowly defeated by Mr. Mwanawasa. However, the results were eventually upheld.


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Thousands of Congolese Refugees Flee to Uganda, Rwanda

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Rebel forces loyal to renegade leader Laurent Nkundu have made serious inroads into territory previously held by army of President Joseph Kabila around eastern town of Goma
The UN refugee agency reports thousands of Congolese refugees have fled
to Uganda and Rwanda in the past few days seeking safety from
escalating fighting in  North Kivu province.  Rebel forces loyal to
renegade leader Laurent Nkundu have made serious inroads into
territory previously held by the Congolese army of President Joseph
Kabila around the eastern town of Goma.  Lisa Schlein reports for VOA
from UNHCR headquarters in Geneva.Internally Displaced People (IDP) leave Goma in direction to the improvised IDP's camp in Kibati, about 25 kilometers north of the provincial capital of Goma, 31 Oct 2008The UN refugee agency reports
more than 8,500 Congolese refugees have crossed the
border into Uganda since the latest round of fighting started in
August - some 2,500 of them over the past few days.  UN refugee
spokesman, Ron Redmond, says many of the refugees said they had walked
for more than 20 hours from the Rugarama area in Congo.  This is about
17 kilometers from the Uganda border.He says most of the
Congolese refugees in Uganda are dispersed in a dozen villages along
the border with the Democratic Republic of Congo."They are
accommodated by host families, friends and relatives," said Redmond.
"They are in fairly good condition.  But, we fear that the situation
could soon deteriorate if medical, water and sanitation facilities are
unable to cope with rapidly increasing needs.  Logistics are
difficult.  It is a very remote area.  In addition, the food supplies
in that part of Uganda generally depend on local imports from DRC."Meanwhile,
Redmond says some 1,200 other Congolese refugees, who fled to Rwanda
earlier in the week, were staying in a school in Gisenyi.  He says they
did not want to be registered by UNHCR and transported to the transit
center.  He says many of the refugees have since returned to
Goma to check on their properties and families left behind.  Many
others, he says, have moved in with relatives in Gisenyi or crossed the
border to Uganda.Redmond says the UNHCR is going to have to set up new sites to accommodate the growing number of refugees and displaced people."It
is clear we are going to require more resources, more funding to cope
with the new needs," he said. "Working with the UN system and our
partners in the UN as well as NGO partners, we are going to need to
rapidly distribute tarpaulins, blankets, sleeping mats, jerry cans,
buckets, mosquito nets.  All of the aid items that are absolutely
essential in a situation like this where people have fled with
nothing."  The UN High Commissioner for Refugees, Antonio
Guterres, is renewing his appeal to all sides in the conflict to respect
humanitarian principles and to ensure the safety of civilians and those
trying to help them.He says hundreds of thousands of people who have already suffered far too much are in danger and in desperate need of help.The
UNHCR reports more than a quarter of a million people have fled their
homes since August.   Altogether, it estimates there are more than one
million internally displaced people in North Kivu. 

  


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US Congress Hears Views on Domestic Impacts of Recession

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Lawmakers hear pros and cons of new economic stimulus package for US economy
Days before next Tuesday's U.S. presidential and congressional election, U.S. lawmakers heard from economists and other experts about the impact of recession on Americans, and pros and cons of a new economic stimulus package for the U.S. economy. VOA's Dan Robinson reports, majority Democrats are expected to call Congress back into session in mid-November to focus on the U.S. financial crisis and possible new legislation aimed at stimulating the U.S. economy.

This past week, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi pointed to data showing a decline in U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the third quarter of 2008, and an increase in the numbers of Americans applying for unemployment benefits, saying this underscores the need for what she called a fiscally responsible stimulus plan.

Trader on New York Stock Exchange (file)Economists and other experts offered projections about just how bad the economic downturn, which many said constitutes a recession, may be.

Appearing before the bipartisan Joint Economic Committee, J. Steven Landefeld, Director of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, says whether it's called a recession or not, the economy is in a dramatic slowdown:

"We all know there has been a huge loss of consumer wealth during this period. Household's disposable income share going to energy has certainly gone up considerably over time and the economy is growing at a rate too slow to generate new jobs sufficient to keep up with labor force growth, population growth, and growth in productivity," he said.

Nuriel Rubini, a former U.S. treasury department official now at New York University, flatly calls it a recession, and predicts it will last 18 and possibly as long as 24 months, involving a cumulative decline in economic output of more than four percent, the worst since World War II.

Rubini urges Congress to act on a second fiscal stimulus of at least 300 billion dollars, saying that without support for Main Street [average Americans], government steps to support financial markets could be undone:

"This action has to be taken right away and soon. We cannot wait until the next Congress in February because three months from now the collapse of spending, consumption and investments will be so sharp that the economic contractions could become even more severe," he said.

Richard Vedder, Professor of Economics at Ohio University and a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute is concerned that an overly-zealous Congress, as he puts it, will craft legislation that could have adverse effects and questions where the money will come from. "In a financially-stressed situation, we're talking about going out and borrowing to add 300 or 400 billion on to what we are already doing, the better part of at trillion dollars, seven or eight percent of GDP. I think that is a dangerous and somewhat fiscally irresponsible thing to do and I think in the long-run it will inspire a decline in confidence and will lead to inflationary expectations soaring."

Former International Monetary Fund research director Simon Johnson, now with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, warns of unprecedented global dimensions from a U.S. recession.

He urges Congress to act quickly on a package of around 450-billion dollars, to include extending unemployment benefits, job re-training, student and small business loans, and infrastructure projects. "I think we probably have a month or perhaps two months to really see the direction of the economy. I would agree completely with people who think that now is the time to prepare a large fiscal stimulus."

In the House Ways & Means Committee, state governors, a city mayor, and state and local officials called for another government stimulus plan.

New York Governor David Paterson said his state is among 25 U.S. states facing huge deficits. "There are 25 states in deficit, totaling more than $48 billion of debt. Their projections for 2010 are spiked upward incredibly. There will be 39 states in deficit and the amounts owed total over $105 billion."

Among more dire warnings, Robert Greenstein, of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, spoke of potential sharp increases in poverty, with Americans facing what he calls holes in the social safety that did not exist during previous deep recessions in the 1970's and 1980's: "I think we are facing a growing prospect of levels of destitution, not just poverty, destitution, severe hardship and increases in homelessness that we haven't seen in several decades," he said.

Democratic Representative Charlie Rangel, chairman of the Ways & Means panel, says Democrats and Republicans should work together when Congress returns after the election to help with the economy. "We have to be prepared to put together that will indeed be bipartisan. Quite frankly I don't think that should be very difficult. When someone loses their job, their health insurance, can't pay the mortgage, finds himself not being able to get credit, no one asks whether they are a Republican or whether they are Democrat."

Republicans such as Representative Jim McRery share concerns about the widespread impacts of recession, but oppose any package that would have little chance of winning congressional and presidential approval. "It would do us little good to draft a package like that if it stands little chance of passing a closely-divided Senate or getting signed by the president," he said.

The White House has so far expressed resistance, at least in public, to any new measure containing the kind of provisions and level of spending Democrats are likely to include.

This means Democrats would have to wait until next year and a new congressional session, to work with either Senator Barack Obama or Senator John McCain as president, on the next stage of efforts to help the economy.


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Energy Experts Question Rhetoric of Both Candidates in Presidential Election

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Experts see promise in some proposals set forth by campaigns, but are less enthused about slogans
One of the more contentious issues in this year's U.S. presidential election has been energy, with Democratic candidate Barack Obama favoring more alternative energy development and criticizing oil companies earning record profits. Republican candidate John McCain has called for more development of domestic oil and gas resources with the slogan "Drill, Baby, Drill." Energy experts see promise in some proposals set forth by the campaigns, but are less enthused about the slogans. VOA's Greg Flakus has more from Houston.

Ken MedlockAlthough the financial crisis has become the dominant issue in this year's election, concern about high energy costs have not disappeared. Fuel prices remain higher than they were four years ago and many people expect them to head back to recent peaks once the economy rebounds.

Barack Obama has called for more government investment in alternative energy, a windfall profits tax on oil companies and, while he has said he would "look at" possibly opening more U.S. coastal areas to exploration and drilling, he has criticized oil companies for not fully using leases they already have.

John McCain favors opening areas for development in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and on both the Atlantic and Pacific coasts where drilling has been banned for the past 30 years. He also favors expansion of nuclear energy as well as other alternatives.

Ken Medlock, who teaches energy economics at Rice University, says both candidates have some good ideas, but he says their simplified rhetoric does little to advance the debate.

For example, he notes that Obama's call for energy companies to use leases they currently hold or give them up amounts to an attack on prudent business decisions by those companies. "You may think something is there and once you actually do your due diligence (research), you may figure out that it is not a commercial quantity of oil and so you simply do not develop it."

Medlock says companies hold on to these leases so that they might develop them once operating costs come down or new technologies come along.

Medlock also says Obama's call for a windfall profits tax on oil companies could backfire and leave consumers paying even more at the fuel pump. "If you do anything to have a negative impact on investment, the level of investment, at the end of the day that works back to us because prices go up because there is less supply," he said.

Medlock also finds unrealistic rhetoric in the McCain campaign. He says the call for more drilling off coastal areas is premature since no one really knows if there are commercially exploitable deposits there or not.

"If nothing is there, then nobody is going to drill. People do not drill wells just for the sake of drilling wells. But there is the off chance that we might find a massive deposit somewhere along one of the those places along one of those places along the east coast or the eastern Gulf of Mexico that we simply did not know was there. The point is 'let's reduce uncertainty.' Unfortunately, the 'Drill, Baby, Drill' slogan debases the whole argument," he said.

Medlock says what is needed is a lifting of the ban on exploration to allow an assessment of what resources may be out there.

Medlock says both campaigns talk of a bright future based on alternative energy, but there are costs involved that they often do not take into account. The candidates also favor reducing or even eliminating demand for foreign oil. But Medlock notes that buying imported oil is cheaper than developing some of the resources available domestically or creating new infrastructure to accommodate alternative energy like electricity or compressed natural gas to power transportation.


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